The (maybe) bright Hive future
Inflation, incentives, and change. And yes, we need change!
This needs sharing, IMO.
Prologue / intro
Ever since I started having more health issues than usual I've also gained some friends through some of my "team meetings", or whatever you wanna call them 😆
One of these friends is a previous financial worker with a lot of insight in many aspect of the finance world.
I was talking with him about Hive, and while he can see the smart thing, he quickly asked "How are people getting paid?"
This had me digging a little. Although I knew beforehand that new $HIVE was printed to pay the rewards, I didn't really get the full grasp about it all. I probably still don't.
With some help from my friend, we went over the falling price of $HIVE, the potential reasons behind it and what could be done to try and fix it. Because, let's be honest... no-one wants to invest properly into a currency that just keeps printing new money.
And new users rarely stick around because of the exact same reason - their efforts may be rewarded, but they are not part of the inner circle and hence, their rewards makes it not worth their time.
I stumbled upon some Haircut event. This was news to me, and is also somewhat considered into our conversation.

The case of Hive
As explained by my friend (he's good at explaining shit):
Inflation, printing new money to pay people, will always lead to sell-pressure.
This in itself is fairly easy to understand. And sell-pressure force people to sell - maybe even cheaper than they would like.
What I wasn't fully aware of is the fact that the sell-pressure is "automated".
Automated how, you ask?
Let's say NVIDIA paid their employees with NVDA stocks. This would be pretty good - at first.
They wouldn't be able to buy food, pay rent or anything else with these stocks, so they have to sell them.
This is also pretty good, they have a fairly great value these days.. but here's the catch:
Every time an employee is getting paid, more stocks are printed/made.
This will saturate the market fairly quick and the NVDA stock will fall in price.

That is what Hive is doing.
Whether we like it or not, it's as simple as that.
And, as it turns out, when the Hive price is falling, the debt ratio is increasing. I hadn't taken this into consideration, but apparently there is no guarantee the $HBD will keep its $1 peg if the debt ratio hits 30%.
Well damn!
Solutions
Of course, neither I or my friend has the answers to this, but we've come up with a fe ideas of how this situation could potentially be turned around.
Yield and stake
These two would go hand in hand. My friend called it something similar to "relationship ratio".
$HBD yield of 15% APR would directly be tied to staked $HIVE (HivePower/HP).
Instead of the fixed 15% APR on $HBD, the amount of $HBD you would (or could) get interest on would be the equivalent to the amount of the $HBD value in HivePower.
For every $1 staked $HIVE you "unlock" 15% APR on 1 $HBD
This could ensure both the $HBD price, but also boost the price of $HIVE.
Burn mechanism
Yes, this already exist. But it's not really burning too much of the newly created $HIVE.
What if this was tweaked, with a NULL-address where people could send $HIVE to and in return, have their content promoted?
Currently, Ecency offers promotion, but this is through their own Ecency Points. This doesn't help $HIVE IMO.
This would then promote the content of their choice, selected by sending the identifier in the MEMO, along with the period.
Obviously there would have to be some algorithm to handle this.
How they rank compared to each other would be highly depending on how long a promotion should be.
Now, since the payout window is 7 days, most would probably not go above those 7 days, or promote content that are older than 7 days - but both options should still be possible - with a warning to the user initiating the promotion, of course.
The benefits
What we would achieve with something like this, or maybe even both, would be a change of psychology - changing the way people think about Hive. Both as a blockchain, how it works, but also how much to keep on-chain.

Thank you for reading,
I appreciate you!
Please share this to reach as many Hive users as possible ❤️
Images created with AI,
AI inspired title
Posted Using INLEO
The simplest and least convoluted solution is to cut inflation. Well I don't know how simple that really is from an execution standpoint, but from a conceptual standpoint it is.
Fully agree, but how would rewards be distributed then? Similar setup as InLeo?
I thought about adding that, but I can't see where the funds for the buybacks would come from.
Now that I think of it: Maybe from daily posts from a specific Hive profile 🤔
!BBH
They could always do it from the DHF to start with... 🤣 🤣 🤣
Yeah, that actually could be an idea, and a good one.
Maybe even ditch the funding thing so people who build stuff for the chain actually make it right and update regularly.
I think we're on to something here 😆
!BBH
LOL! I don't know. IMHO the DHF is a sacred cow from which everyone wants a drink of milk from but few get. I think the powerful votes will never let it be distributed to all.
And that is - at least I think it is - the very source of the issue.
I don't know enough to put all that in perspective for my friend, but it would be interesting to have him go over all that. Problem is he doesn't have too much interest in crypto 😅
!BBH
It is definitely one of the elements in the room! The other being the inflation.
These are some really great ideas, good luck with convincing the witnesses.
Thank you. I am certain that none of the witnesses will listen to me alone 😂
!BBH
In my personal opinion, we need to find ways to increase the utility of HIVE (through dApps, DeFi, NFTs, etc.). This will gradually drive up demand for HIVE, and as demand exceeds supply, the price will rise accordingly.
Nothing will change. The only ones who could implement a change would suffer lol, why would they shoot themselves in the foot🤣 They will keep bleeding the DHF and farming selfvoting cycle jerking their projects all the meanwhile killing the fun projects that actually keep people on Hive etc etc etc
Unfortunately I think you're right.
But I don't understand how they're able to be so indifferent towards it.
Maybe it'll be better with the next fork, someone who copy Hive, still Hive features (unlike blurt) and then implement those kind of changes.
Maybe a feature to limit the power one single entity can have 🤔
!BBH
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